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Arms traders and sophisticated individual investors with the tools they need to play the markets successfully
Many traders believe that they must perform at least one trade every day, no matter what. However, as expert Price Headley clearly demonstrates in this groundbreaking book, not only is that assumption false, it can also be dangerous. He shows why focusing too narrowly on the daily ebb and flow of the markets minimizes a trader's chances for the big returns. He explains why maximum results are achieved by identifying the big market trends and riding them for all their worth. Headley explores the major market indicators-including the popular CBOE Volatility Index, Nasdaq 100, Rydex Mutual Fund Flows, and Equity Put/Call Ratio-and shows readers how to use them to identify the stocks that are about to take off. Emphasizing the aggressive use of options, he also empowers investors with stock selection techniques and options strategies that work in virtually every type of market.
- Sales Rank: #667644 in Books
- Color: Green
- Published on: 2002-03-26
- Original language: English
- Number of items: 1
- Dimensions: 9.30" h x .80" w x 6.30" l, 1.11 pounds
- Binding: Hardcover
- 272 pages
From the Inside Flap
If you're the kind of savvy trader or investor who aggressively seeks profits in bull and bear markets, Big Trends in Trading: Strategies to Master Major Market Moves is for you. Price Headley, a trading expert and founder of BigTrends.com, draws on his extensive trading experience to show you how to find the best trends in the market and use proven strategies to capture profits from them. You'll learn the secret to success in any market by utilizing a trading plan that accurately identifies prevailing market conditions and then seeks out situations with the highest reward-to-risk ratios.
Big Trends in Trading explores indicators that will help you gauge investor sentiment so you can make significant gains before most other investors have even caught on to trends. You'll learn how to use:
* The CBOE Equity Put/Call Ratio to determine upcoming turning points in the market
* RYDEX Mutual Fund Flows to gauge the speculative sentiment among active fund switchers
* The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) after an uptrend or decline
* Volume indicators that include vehicles such as the Nasdaq 100 Trust (QQQ) and S&P 500 Depository Receipts (SPY)
. . . as well as services that track investor sentiment, including the Investors Intelligence (II) survey.
Big Trends in Trading also guides you through specific stock selection strategies that Headley has used successfully over his career. You'll learn how to use numerous standard technical indicators and measures such as Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), Support and Resistance, Wilder's Average Directional Movement Index (ADX), as well as Headley's favorite proprietary indicators: Acceleration Bands and Momentum Divergence.
After a complete examination of indicators such as relative strength and growth-oriented fundamental factors, Big Trends in Trading moves from stocks to options and discusses the power of trend-based strategies for options buyers, as well as various other options strategies that will allow you to profit in all market environments. Strategies such as buying protective puts and selling covered calls can help you capture the best bang for your buck, while you manage the risks associated with your options trades.
Big Trends in Trading doesn't just teach you about the mechanics behind successful stock and options selection. This comprehensive guide goes beyond your average trading guide and addresses the key success factors often overlooked by traders. Headley guides you through the process of building a trading plan that will fit your personality, helps you identify and overcome hurdles to developing a winning mindset, and provides effective money management rules to minimize risk while maximizing your ability to profit from big trends.
Filled with powerhouse strategies, vivid case studies, and helpful charts, Big Trends in Trading will put you on the path to trading profits and investment success.
From the Back Cover
Praise for Big Trends In Trading
"Price combines the sciences of contrarian investing, technical analysis, and option valuation in a straightforward, easy-to-understand manner. He has always been well known for his thorough and accurate research, and he shows why in Big Trends in Trading. Serious traders will benefit from reading this book."
-Lawrence G. McMillan, President of McMillan Analysis Corp.
"Price Headley takes a dynamic view of such popular indicators as sentiment and volatility because he knows that the markets are not static but are always changing, and he shows you how to change with them. In addition, he tests the majority of his work and shows the success rates. A rare combination, and a must read for new and experienced traders alike."
-Thom Hartle, President of Market Analytics, Inc. (www.thomhartle.com)
"This book should prove to be valuable reading for all technically oriented traders and investors. By emphasizing the 'big trends,' Headley stresses the importance of concentrating only in the most profitable situations-and tells you how to find them. I personally like his choice of technical indicators-and his unique way of using them. I also like his coverage of money management and the mental aspect of trading-which are just as important as the trading system employed-but too often neglected. All in all, an outstanding piece of work."
-John Murphy, author of Intermarket Technical Analysis,
The Visual Investor, and Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets,
and President of MurphyMorris, Inc.
About the Author
Price Headley is the founder of BigTrends.com, which provides investors with specific real-time stock and options strategies and investment education to help investors profit from significant market trends. Headley has appeared on CNBC and Bloomberg Television, and has been quoted in a variety of national financial publications, including The Wall Street Journal, Barron's, Forbes, Investor's Business Daily, USA Today, and Bloomberg Personal. Headley speaks regularly to investment audiences nationwide. He is a graduate of Duke University and a member of the Market Technicians Association. He is also a chartered financial analyst (CFA). Headley was ranked in Timer Digest's top 10 for stock market timing in 2000.
Most helpful customer reviews
61 of 63 people found the following review helpful.
Top Notch Book on Determining Market's Direction
By L. Masonson
Price Headley, the founder of BigTrends.com, has shared many of his best market indicators with readers. I've seen Headley speak at a few Investor Expos and he not only knows his stuff, but he presents it clearly without going over the heads of the audience. He has taken the same approach with his book. I found the indicators that he reviews to be very useful in providing insight into them market direction. I have personally used a number of them myself over the years.
Not only does Headley provide the indicators, but he also includes the EasyLanguage Code for Tradestation platform users so that they can easily input his indicators on their PCs. Headley could have kept the settings of his indicators proprietary, but he chooses the high rode and shared them with his readers.
Now to the review of this book. Chapter 1 focuses on Headley's favorite contrary sentiment indicator -- CBOE Equity Put/Call Ratio. Readings below 0.4 are considered bullish and above 0.8 bearish. He also draws standard Bollinger Bands (BB) on the ratio to add another dimension to determining extreme ratio readings. He also covers the weekly ratio, as well as intra-day readings. Moreover, he explains the Total Put/Call ratio (Equity and Index Options) and how to use it to determine fear or greed in the market. Throughout the chapter Headley shows the performance statistics of each indicator over specific timeframes with complete profit and loss statistics. He uses this approach throughout the book so you can see for yourself, which of the strategies have the most bang for the buck.
Chapter 2 covers the fund flows in and out of three Rydex Funds -- Nova, OTC and Ursa. Nova provides 1.5 times the performance of the S&P 500 Index. OTC mirrors the performance of the NASDAQ 100, and URSA is inverse the S&P 500
(short fund). Headley obtains the daily funds flow data for each fund directly from Rydex and then plugs the data into a formula : (Nova+OTC)/URSA. He found that the lower this ratio the lower was investor confidence in the market. This is a contrary indicator and a buy signal. The reverse is a sell signal.
Chapter 3 introduces the CBOE Volatility Index known as VIX. It is a measure of the expected volatility of stocks based on pricing of the S&P 100 (or OEX) options. VIX is also used as a contrary indicator with high readings bullish (40) and low readings (18) bearish.
Chapter 4 focuses on volume indicators. He uses the daily QQQ, NASDAQ Composite and Spyders with their respective volumes. He graphs the prices of these items with BBs on the data to identify overbought and oversold conditions.
Chapter 5 covers surveys used to gauge fear and greed in the markets. Headley recommends taking a contrary position to the survey results when they reach extreme readings. Surveys he reviews include the Investors Intelligence Bull and Bear Index, Consensus, Inc., AAII weekly poll, and Market Vane. Performance data using these surveys is also provided.
Chapter 6 reviews Headley's favorite classic trend indicators. These include weekly and daily moving averages, MACD, support and resistance, average true range, and ADX. He briefly mentions candlestick charts using one example, and covers a few points on system testing.
Chapter 7 introduces the "acceleration band" indicator developed by Headley. He provides an explanation of the logic behind it, the EasyLanguage Code and numerous chart examples. Headley is basically taking the directional movement each day (high-low) and dividing it by the average stock price (high+low divided by 2) to obtain the directional movement of the stock or index. Also included is a discussion of moving average envelopes (similar to BBs) and illustrations of their use.
Chapter 8 covers the concept of momentum divergences. Headley uses the MACD indicator to determine his key entry and exit points, then he introduces his unique Momentum Divergence Indicator with chart examples and TradeStation code. He then combines the momentum divergence with moving average envelopes to provide his buy and sell signals. He provides charts of 10 popular stocks and their performance using these indicators.
Chapter 9 focuses on the relative strength of stocks to its comparative market index. This has nothing to do with the RSI indicator although they have similar names. Headley recommends using an RS line with 5, 10, 20 and 50-day moving averages. He provides 6 chart examples with this data and a detailed explanation.
Chapter 10 and 11 cover the basic principles of trading options. Headley provides four simple option-trading rules. He then explains option strategies in different market conditions.
The book's last chapter (40 pages) reviews the key tenets of trading psychology and money management. Topics include: building a customized trading plan, psychological issues to be aware of, and effective money management rules. Headley provides not only 10 key questions to consider about your trading plan, but also reviews the answers to each question. To help the reader, Headley provides his only personal trading rules and suggestion and his daily trading process.
The bibliography contains about reference books on all aspects of investing and trading. There is a 9-page glossary of terms, and a list of 15 websites.
In conclusion, Headley does a masterful job of providing traders with time-tested indicators, including two self-developed ones that he shares with readers. Readers of this book should be able to incorporate Headley's indicators into their trading strategies and come out way ahead of the crowd.
10 of 11 people found the following review helpful.
A True Contrarian
By David Rankin
A common theme among all the fundamental and technical analyst books is that you need to become a Contrarian investor in order to consisitently make money trading stocks. This book provides a true blueprint for accomplishing that goal.
8 of 8 people found the following review helpful.
For those who had read over four trading books
By ServantofGod
As a trader who had read tens of trading books, I still found this one interesting and helpful. I like its variety of content (that the author introduced a lot sentiment indicators like CBOE Put/Call Parity + Volatility Index, RYDEX Mutual Fund Flows, Volume indicators for QQQ and S&P 500 Depository Receipts), plus the author's writing style and integrity (the author did quoted frequently from other writers). Some technical tools like MACD, ADX were discussed, but only briefly. In fact, I like Chapter 12 about trading psychology and money management, Appendix D favorite quotes the most.
To conclude, if you want to read an intermediate to advanced level trading book, and that you are appreciative of logical and contrarian trading, this one is for you.
p.s. I like Mark Douglas, Bernard Baruch and Jesse Livermore very much. As the author does appreciate these "gurus", I admit that my positive comment may be a little bit biased.
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